Edo State Commissioner for Information, Kassim Afegbua, has predicted the outcome of the 2027 presidential election.
According to Afegbua, President Bola Tinubu will retain the presidency after the election. He also predicted that former Vice President Atiku Abubakar would finish second.
Afegbua placed Peter Obi in third position in his projection. He described the contest as a three-horse race involving Tinubu, Atiku and Obi.
The commissioner made the prediction while discussing the chances of opposition figures during an interview on the Naija Unfiltered Podcast.
His comments come as political parties and presidential hopefuls position themselves ahead of the 2027 election.
Peter Obi has already featured prominently in opposition political discussions. His recent political activities have also attracted national attention.
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Afegbua Says 2027 Race Is Between Three Candidates
Afegbua dismissed the idea that several other politicians could significantly challenge the three leading contenders.
He described the 2027 presidential contest as a three-horse race.
“It’s a three horse race please,” Afegbua said during the podcast.
He also rejected suggestions that Oyo State Governor Seyi Makinde could become a major factor in the contest.
Makinde has expressed interest in seeking the presidency on the platform of the Advanced Peoples Movement.
Afegbua questioned the political strength of the platform and Makinde’s national appeal.
“Where is APM in Nigeria, please? Where is Makinde? Why is he grandstanding?” he asked.
The Edo commissioner also questioned what he described as Makinde’s political grandstanding.
His comments reflect the growing debate over which opposition figures can mount serious challenges to the ruling APC.
The opposition field could still change before the 2027 election. Parties are expected to make further moves as the political season develops.
Atiku has also remained a major figure in discussions about a possible opposition coalition.
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Sowore, Other Candidates Dismissed
Afegbua was also dismissive of African Action Congress presidential candidate Omoyele Sowore.
He grouped Sowore with other opposition figures whom he described as “rabble rousers.”
The commissioner argued that these candidates would not significantly affect the presidential contest.
“What is the other man’s name? Sowore. All those ones are rabble rousers,” he said.
Afegbua maintained that the three candidates he identified remained the main contenders.
He said other names would only “fill the gap” without presenting a serious threat to the leading candidates.
However, the eventual strength of each candidate will depend on party structures, alliances and voter support.
The political landscape could also shift before parties select their final candidates.
Nigeria’s 2027 election is already generating competing campaign messages and political strategies.
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Afegbua Predicts Tinubu First, Atiku Second
Afegbua gave a direct ranking of the three politicians he considers the strongest contenders.
He predicted Tinubu would finish first in the presidential election.
He placed Atiku in second position and Obi in third.
“Atiku Abubakar will come second. Peter Obi will come third. President Bola Tinubu will come first,” Afegbua stated.
The commissioner said his projection was not based solely on personal opinion.
He claimed that statistics, research and empirical analysis informed his prediction.
According to Afegbua, his assessment considered the electoral strengths and weaknesses of the ruling All Progressives Congress.
“The statistics massing around favor this conclusion,” he said.
He added that his prediction was based on research, investigation and empirical analysis.
Afegbua’s comments therefore present his assessment of the current political landscape. They do not represent the confirmed outcome of the 2027 election.
The election itself will determine the eventual winner after Nigerians cast their votes.
Afegbua Admits APC Has Electoral Weaknesses
Despite his confidence in Tinubu’s chances, Afegbua admitted that the APC has weaknesses.
He said the party knows the states where it may struggle during the election.
According to him, the party is already working to address those challenges.
“We know where our weaknesses are as a party,” Afegbua said.
He added that the APC also knows the states where it may not perform strongly.
However, he argued that the situation could change before the election.
Afegbua said the party was putting machinery in place to improve its electoral position.
“APC is very solid,” he added.
His remarks highlight the importance of political structures in the coming election.
Parties will need strong grassroots networks to translate national support into votes across different states.
The APC will also face competition from opposition parties seeking to consolidate their support.
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2027 Election Already Shaping Political Alliances
The 2027 presidential race has continued to generate political realignments across Nigeria.
Several politicians have started positioning themselves ahead of the election.
Opposition figures are also discussing strategies that could strengthen their chances against the APC.
The role of political alliances could become especially important before the election.
Atiku’s position remains significant because of his previous presidential campaigns and national political network.
Obi also retains a strong political presence following his 2023 presidential campaign.
Tinubu, meanwhile, will seek another mandate under the APC.
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The eventual contest could therefore depend on alliances, party structures and voter mobilisation.
Other presidential hopefuls may also gain relevance as political parties settle their strategies.
Afegbua’s Prediction Sparks Political Debate
Afegbua’s prediction is likely to generate debate among supporters of the major political camps.
Supporters of Tinubu may welcome his confidence in the president’s re-election prospects.
Atiku’s supporters may also focus on the commissioner’s decision to place him ahead of Obi.
Meanwhile, Obi’s supporters are likely to challenge the prediction that he would finish third.
The ranking remains a political forecast rather than a verified election result.
Nigeria’s political environment can change significantly before election day.
Candidates may form new alliances, switch platforms or consolidate support in key regions.
Party primaries will also determine which politicians eventually secure presidential tickets.
The strength of each campaign will then depend on its ability to connect with voters nationwide.
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Political Contest Expected to Intensify
With the 2027 election approaching, political activity is expected to increase across the country.
The ruling APC will seek to defend its position at the federal level.
Opposition politicians will aim to build a coalition capable of challenging the incumbent.
Recent political developments have already shown how quickly alliances can change.
Peter Obi’s political movements remain closely watched by his supporters and opponents.
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Atiku also remains central to conversations about opposition unity and the presidential race.
The former vice president’s political camp has continued to feature in discussions about the 2027 contest.
Tinubu’s administration, meanwhile, will campaign on its record and ongoing policies.
The president’s supporters are expected to highlight the government’s achievements ahead of the election.
The opposition will likely focus on economic conditions, governance and other concerns raised by voters.
More Contenders Could Emerge
Although Afegbua sees the race as a contest among three major figures, the final field remains open.
Other politicians could still secure strong party structures before the election.
Makinde remains one of the politicians whose political ambitions have attracted attention.
Sowore also remains active in the opposition space.
Their eventual influence will depend on their parties, alliances and ability to attract voters.
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For now, Afegbua has offered a clear Afegbua 2027 prediction.
He expects Tinubu to win, Atiku to finish second and Obi to take third place.
However, only the actual votes cast during the 2027 presidential election will determine the final result.
